ORCID

Jeremy Losak: 0000-0002-4591-2762

Document Type

Article

Date

2021

Keywords

daily fantasy sports, efficient market hypothesis, chance versus skill, gambling

Language

English

Disciplines

Sports Sciences

Description/Abstract

Differentiating and defining games of skill versus chance have major legal implications when classifying gambling, especially in relation to daily fantasy sports in the United States.This paper provides a theoretical discussion and introduces an empirical approach to analyzing game player pricing mechanisms. If game pricing mechanisms are fully efficient - player prices fully reflect the expected contributions from players-then that game is one of chance since there is no opportunity for skill to play a role in outcomes. This paper examines player prices from DraftKings' daily fantasy football product. Empirical results show that there are strategies deriving from the pricing mechanism that can be incorporated by skilled participants to increase their expected performance and imporve their chances of winning. This provides evidence that daily fantasy sports are skill-based - a necessary condition for skill to be a predominant factor in game outcomes as part of the legal debate.

Source

submission

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

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