Date of Award

5-12-2024

Degree Type

Dissertation

Degree Name

Doctor of Professional Studies

Department

Information Management

Advisor(s)

Steven Sawyer

Keywords

cartography best practices;climate model maps;uncertainty;uncertainty in cartography;visual semiotics;visualizing uncertainty

Abstract

This research presents an evaluation of the methods that can be used to visualize uncertainty in static image maps of climate change model outputs. Visualizing uncertainty can be traced back to the early days of cartography, scientific visualization, and information visualization. For decades, visualizations of uncertainty have been the focus of disparate research fields and multiple techniques have been proposed. However, critical evaluation of these approaches has not received the same level of consideration. This study identifies the current state of research for representing uncertainty on static maps and applies those methods to geospatial visualizations of climate change. Existing research focuses on visualizing uncertainty broadly and often generically, whereas this study specifically targets uncertainty visualization at a more detailed level. The assessment methodology proposed in this study not only identifies best practices for climate change depictions but also fills a gap within academic literature that cartographers may find useful. A rubric based on the fundamentals of visual semiotics was developed for the assessment of techniques for intuitiveness and iconicity and applied to the visualizations. Distinctions between the more successful and less successful practices highlight important considerations for visual representations of uncertainty on climate change model maps.

Access

Open Access

Available for download on Sunday, June 14, 2026

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